Scenario planning, also called scenario thinking, scenario analysis or the scenario method, is a strategic planning approach that organizations use to make flexible long term plans under uncertainty. It is largely an adaptation and generalization of classic methods originally used by military intelligence. This description is adapted from Wikipedia contributors under CC BY-SA 4.0; changes were made. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/
Facts
Core ClaimA strategic planning method organizations use to make flexible long-term plans by describing possible futures as stories. 1 Classification
Topic (Functional Area) Connections
Addresses Topic
Associated With
Source Wikipedia, Strategic management
Developed By
Source Wikipedia, Scenario planning
Source Wikipedia, Scenario planning
Open Questions
Source Wikipedia, Scenario planning
Sources
1. Wikipedia, Scenario planning
Introduction
Scenario planning, scenario thinking, scenario analysis, scenario prediction and the scenario method all describe a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans.
Introduction, functional area topic classification
Scenario planning, scenario thinking, scenario analysis, scenario prediction and the scenario method all describe a strategic planning method that some organizations use to make flexible long-term plans.
Developed By: Herman Kahn, History
Most authors attribute the introduction of scenario planning to Herman Kahn
Developed By: Pierre Wack, History
Practical development of scenario forecasting, to guide strategy rather than for the more limited academic uses which had previously been the case, was started by Pierre Wack in 1971 at the Royal Dutch Shell
View the SourceWikipedia, Strategic management
Associated With: Strategy, Classified by subject-matter domain within management theory (w-bbfill-business-other-0926); cites the discipline definition.View the Source Open Questions (1 open question)
In what specific year did Herman Kahn first develop scenario planning at RAND Corporation?
The atlas's own cited source attributes the technique to Herman Kahn's work for the US military at RAND Corporation only to the 1950s generally, with no single year named.
What would resolve this A biographical or RAND institutional source pinning the specific year Kahn first developed the scenario-storytelling technique, rather than the decade alone.
Business historyWikipedia, Scenario planning
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